Voters Say Trump is Worse than Biden, But Don't Write Him Off Yet

Feb 8, 2026, 2:17 AM
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A recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll revealed a surprising shift in public opinion, showing that 51% of voters believe President Joe Biden is doing a better job than former President Donald Trump, who garnered only 49% approval. This marks a significant turnaround from the previous year when Trump held a commanding lead of 58% to Biden's 42% in the same poll. As the 2026 midterm elections approach, Republicans may have cause for concern, but there are still avenues for Trump to regain his footing.
Central to Trump's potential resurgence is the public's concern over economic issues. The Harvard poll indicated that inflation and immigration remain top priorities for voters, with 33% citing inflation as the most pressing issue and 29% focused on immigration. Despite his current approval rating of 45%, down 2 points since December, Trump appears to have time to pivot and address these concerns effectively.
Many Americans continue to feel the economic strain of rising prices, a situation exacerbated by years of inflation under Biden's administration. However, recent trends suggest that inflation is beginning to stabilize, and the economy could be on an upward trajectory. Trump needs to articulate these changes clearly to the electorate, emphasizing the positive shifts in economic indicators and his administration's achievements.
On the immigration front, public sentiment is mixed. While there is overwhelming support (73%) for deporting criminal aliens, many voters believe that Trump's aggressive tactics may be too extreme, particularly following recent incidents involving immigration operations. This indicates that while Trump still holds significant support on immigration, he may need to recalibrate his approach to align with public sentiment.
Interestingly, the public's perception of Trump's overall effectiveness is not entirely bleak. According to the same Harvard poll, 55% of voters believe that Trump's policies are consistent with his campaign promises, and 54% feel he has accomplished a lot in his first year. These figures suggest that while there is discontent, a considerable portion of the electorate still recognizes his efforts.
Despite the challenges he faces, Trump's appeal among his base remains robust. Polls show that 94% of those who voted for him in the last election still believe it was the right choice. This loyalty could provide a crucial foundation for his campaign as he seeks to address the economic concerns that have begun to erode his support.
The broader political landscape indicates that both parties are struggling with public trust. Many voters feel that neither party effectively understands their concerns, with 60% indicating that Trump is out of touch, and even more (69%) stating the Democratic Party is similarly disconnected. This dissatisfaction creates an opportunity for Trump to present himself as the candidate who can champion the concerns of working-class Americans.
As the midterm elections draw closer, Trump will need to focus on effective messaging around the economy and immigration to win back voters who may feel disillusioned. The public's economic anxiety is palpable, with 70% of Americans describing the cost of living in their areas as unaffordable. If Trump can successfully convince voters that his policies will lead to real improvements, he may yet turn the tide in his favor.
In summary, while current polls suggest that Trump is viewed less favorably than Biden, the political landscape is fluid. With key issues like the economy and immigration taking center stage, there remains potential for Trump to regain support ahead of the midterms. His ability to communicate effectively and address voters' concerns will be critical in shaping his political future.

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