Trump's Endorsement Looms in Texas Senate Runoff Between Cornyn and Paxton

Mar 5, 2026, 2:18 AM
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The Texas Republican primary for the US Senate has escalated into a contentious runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. With neither candidate achieving the necessary majority in the initial primary, attention now turns to President Donald Trump's forthcoming endorsement, which could significantly sway the outcome.
In the recent primary, Cornyn garnered 41.7% of the vote, slightly ahead of Paxton's 41%, while Congressman Wesley Hunt trailed with 13.4%. With the runoff scheduled for May 26, the stakes are high for both candidates as they vie for the Republican nomination to face Democratic nominee James Talarico in November.
Trump has made it clear that he plans to endorse one of the candidates soon, stating on social media, "I will be making my Endorsement soon, and will be asking the candidate that I don't Endorse to immediately DROP OUT OF THE RACE!" He emphasized the need for unity to ensure a Republican victory in the general election.
Supporters of both candidates are keenly aware of the potential impact of Trump's endorsement. A recent poll indicated that 55% of likely GOP primary voters would be more inclined to support a candidate backed by Trump. The former president has previously remained neutral in the race, expressing admiration for all three candidates but has faced increasing pressure to solidify his support for Cornyn.
Cornyn, who is seeking a fifth term, has faced challenges to his popularity among Republican voters, with some polls suggesting a decline in his approval ratings since 2020. His long-standing position within the party has also drawn criticism, with some suggesting he is out of touch with the current conservative base.
Paxton, on the other hand, has positioned himself as a staunch ally of Trump and has a solid following among the party's more conservative factions. Despite his legal troubles and a history of controversy, he holds a significant appeal among hardcore Republican voters, which may benefit him in the runoff. Political consultant Bill Miller noted that the runoff is likely to see Paxton's base mobilized, making him a formidable opponent for Cornyn.
The upcoming runoff is anticipated to be highly contentious, with both candidates already exchanging pointed criticisms. Cornyn has described Paxton as a "flawed, self-centered and shameless candidate," while Paxton has accused Cornyn of attempting to "steal the election" through an overwhelming financial advantage.
As the race intensifies, both candidates are ramping up their campaigns. Cornyn is expected to focus on a strategy that highlights Paxton's ethical lapses, while Paxton aims to capitalize on his outsider status and appeal to the party's more conservative elements.
The financial stakes in this race are unprecedented, with spending in the Texas primary reaching record levels. Cornyn's campaign alone has reportedly spent close to $70 million to secure his position, while Paxton's campaign is also expected to ramp up its fundraising efforts in response to the looming runoff.
As both candidates prepare for the runoff, the question of Trump's endorsement remains pivotal. Should he choose to endorse Cornyn, it may rally the establishment Republicans behind him and provide a crucial boost in the final stretch of the campaign. Conversely, a Trump endorsement for Paxton could galvanize the conservative base and alter the dynamics of the race entirely.
In this high-stakes environment, both Cornyn and Paxton are acutely aware that the outcome will not only determine their political futures but also impact the broader Republican strategy heading into the general election in November. The looming presence of Trump's endorsement adds another layer of complexity to an already charged political landscape.
As the days count down to the runoff, all eyes will be on Trump and the Texas GOP, with the potential for either candidate to emerge as the party's standard-bearer in a state that has become increasingly competitive.

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