Tariff Refunds Could Take Years Following Supreme Court Ruling

Feb 22, 2026, 2:31 AM
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The recent ruling by the US Supreme Court against President Donald Trump's global tariffs has raised concerns regarding the refund process for the estimated $175 billion collected through these tariffs. In a 6-3 decision, the court found that Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) exceeded his authority, leaving unanswered questions about how refunds will be administered.
Legal experts predict that the refund process could take years, particularly for small businesses that may face significant hurdles. The Supreme Court did not outline a specific method for issuing refunds, and Justice Brett Kavanaugh warned that the implementation would likely be "a mess." The case will return to the Court of International Trade, which will oversee the complex refund procedure.
Over 1,000 lawsuits have already been filed by businesses seeking refunds, and many more are expected as importers grapple with the implications of the ruling. Legal professionals suggest that the government is unlikely to initiate refunds voluntarily and will instead require importers to submit individual applications. Greg Shaffer, a law professor at Georgetown University, noted that this approach may disproportionately burden smaller businesses, which may opt not to pursue refunds due to the costs involved.
The ruling comes amid an ongoing trade landscape marked by uncertainty. Despite the court's decision, Trump has indicated plans to impose new global tariffs, leveraging other legal avenues available under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. This section allows for temporary tariffs in response to balance-of-payments issues, further complicating the tariff environment and potential refunds.
Congress is now under pressure to clarify the scope of executive trade authority, as the Supreme Court's ruling emphasizes the need for clear congressional authorization for tariff imposition. House Speaker Mike Johnson commented that Congress and the administration will need to find a path forward in the coming weeks.
Experts also note that the refund process will depend heavily on whether Congress allocates funds for the repayments and clarifies who is entitled to the refunds—importers or consumers. Babak Hafezi, a professor of international business, indicated that resolving these issues could take years, possibly even a decade.
As the US navigates this tumultuous trade environment, it remains to be seen how the refund process will unfold and how it will impact businesses, particularly smaller companies that may lack the resources to engage in prolonged legal battles.
Overall, the Supreme Court's ruling is a significant moment in US trade policy, with ramifications that could shape the economic landscape for years to come. The complexities surrounding the refund process highlight the ongoing challenges faced by businesses in the wake of unprecedented tariff actions.

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