Political Polarization Contributes to Rising CO2 Emissions

Feb 27, 2026, 2:48 AM
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Political polarization has emerged as a significant barrier to effective climate action, with new research suggesting that heightened partisan hostility correlates with increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from power plants. A recent study conducted by researchers at the University of Colorado Boulder highlights how deepening political divides can hinder democracies' ability to manage climate change effectively.
The study, published in the American Sociological Review, examined 20,115 fossil-fueled power plants across 92 democratic countries. It specifically focused on levels of "affective polarization," which refers to the intense animosity and distrust between opposing political parties. The findings indicate that as affective polarization rises, democracies struggle to enforce climate regulations, leading to significantly higher CO2 emissions from power plants.
In essence, while ideological polarization—debate over policy—can stimulate innovation, affective polarization creates a corrosive environment where citizens mobilize against each other, obstructing policy initiatives. Grant, the study's senior author, notes that in countries with high levels of affective polarization, such as Poland, CO2 emissions were nearly 8% above average. In contrast, Uruguay, with lower polarization, had emissions 11% below average.
This pattern is particularly concerning given the increasing urgency of climate change. The US ranks high on the affective polarization scale and exhibits above-average emissions, reflecting a broader trend where political division hampers progress on climate goals.
Historically, political parties in the US were less divided over environmental issues. For instance, the Senate unanimously passed the Clean Air Act in 1970, which authorized the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to implement national air quality standards. However, today's political landscape has changed dramatically, making it challenging for utilities to collaborate with environmental stakeholders.
Grant argues that as partisanship increases, utilities become more insulated from public and regulatory pressures, undermining existing climate policies. This dynamic could lead to the repeal of critical climate mitigation measures, as seen recently with the EPA's decision to repeal the 2009 "endangerment finding," which classified greenhouse gas emissions as a public health threat.
Despite these grim findings, the research also identifies examples of successful climate action amid political strife. The United Kingdom, for instance, has managed to shut down its last operating coal plant, framing the transition to renewable energy as a national effort rather than a partisan victory. This approach contrasts sharply with the US, where political divisions have stalled significant climate commitments.
The Biden administration has attempted to prioritize climate change through a "whole-of-government" approach, integrating climate objectives into trade policies and economic recovery plans. However, the political climate remains fraught, with stark partisan divides affecting public support for climate initiatives. A 2021 Pew Research Center poll revealed that while 59% of Democrats viewed climate change as a top priority, only 14% of Republicans felt the same.
This polarization complicates the passage of substantial climate legislation, as ambitious proposals face resistance from moderate members of both parties. As the Biden administration aims for a clean energy economy with net-zero emissions by 2050, the need for bipartisan cooperation has never been more critical.
Achieving these ambitious climate goals will require unprecedented investments and significant changes across all sectors of the economy. Transitioning to renewable energy sources and enhancing energy efficiency are essential steps toward reducing emissions.
The interplay between political polarization and climate action underscores the urgent need for strategies that foster collaboration across party lines. As the evidence mounts that political division can exacerbate environmental crises, addressing this issue becomes paramount for the future of climate governance.
In conclusion, the link between political polarization and rising CO2 emissions highlights a critical challenge for democracies worldwide. As climate change continues to pose a significant threat, overcoming partisan divides will be essential for effective climate action and the preservation of the planet.

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