The Liberal Party in Australia is at a crossroads, facing a stark choice between change and irrelevance.With the leadership team advocating a shift toward more extreme right-wing politics, many analysts argue that this strategy is unlikely to resonate in urban Australia.
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theguardian.comThe party's recent inclination towards Trump-style nationalism and populism has raised concerns among its traditional supporters.Veteran Liberal strategist Tony Barry described this approach as "chasing the noise," suggesting that the party believes it can survive by aligning itself with divisive messages rather than fostering unity.
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theguardian.comThis strategy includes courting voters who have drifted to One Nation, a party known for its xenophobic rhetoric, which may further alienate urban constituents.
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theguardian.comUrban areas, particularly Australia's multicultural coastal cities, have historically rejected such divisive politics.The 2022 election campaign led by Scott Morrison, which incorporated similar strategies, fell flat, resulting in significant losses for the Liberal Party.
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benansell.substack.comThe current leader, Peter Dutton, appears to be following a similar playbook for the 2025 elections, continuing to emphasize anti-immigration stances that resonate poorly with diverse urban populations.
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benansell.substack.comThe Liberal Party's partnership with One Nation has not gone unnoticed.Many urban voters are likely to view this as a betrayal of the values of inclusivity and diversity that define their communities.Commentators point out that the Liberal Party's success will depend on its ability to differentiate itself from extremist factions and offer bold, constructive policies that appeal to younger voters.
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theguardian.comCurrently, the party's policy framework lacks ambition and does not address critical issues such as housing affordability, climate change, or healthcare.
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theguardian.comThis has left a vacuum where substantive policy discussions could engage voters.For instance, the shadow treasurer's reluctance to tackle tax reform, which many economists argue is essential for helping younger Australians enter the housing market, indicates a disconnect between party leadership and the electorate's needs.
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theguardian.comMoreover, the Liberal Party's failure to present a credible climate policy stands in stark contrast to the growing urgency of the issue among urban voters.The dismissal of carbon neutrality goals and the rejection of Labor's initiatives on renewable energy suggest a party out of touch with the priorities of its constituents.
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theguardian.comThe leadership's reliance on social media dynamics, described by Charlotte Mortlock as being "algorithmed," shows a troubling trend where policy is formed in response to online outrage rather than genuine public concern.This is particularly evident in their approach to immigration and social issues, where negative framing has become prevalent.
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theguardian.comYoung voters, who are critical for future electoral success, are not engaged by the current trajectory of the Liberal Party.Many are seeking candidates who can address economic disparities, social justice, and climate change with innovative solutions rather than divisive rhetoric.
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theguardian.comIn summary, the Liberal Party's attempt to emulate the populist tactics of figures like Donald Trump and Pauline Hanson may not yield the desired results in Australia's urban centers.A return to more inclusive, policy-driven politics is essential if the party hopes to regain the trust of a diverse and increasingly progressive electorate.
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theguardian.combenansell.substack.comUltimately, the Liberal Party must decide whether to continue down a path marked by division and nationalism or to embrace a more hopeful and inclusive vision that reflects the values of all Australians, particularly those in urban areas who are essential for their electoral survival.