Flu Activity in the U.S. Expected to Rise for Weeks, CDC Warns

Jan 7, 2026, 2:59 AM
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Flu activity in the United States could continue to rise for several weeks, according to Dr Carrie Reed, chief of the epidemiology and prevention branch of the CDC's influenza division. "There's a lot of influenza out there right now," she stated, emphasizing that the current season is expected to remain elevated into the spring months.
The CDC's latest estimates indicate that there have been at least 11 million illnesses, 120,000 hospitalizations, and 5,000 deaths attributed to the flu this season. Dr Reed noted that these figures are likely underestimates, as the agency typically reports lower ranges of its estimates.
A new variant, known as subclade K, has emerged as the dominant strain this season. This variant is a subtype of the H3N2 virus, which is part of the influenza A family. Of the flu samples tested since September 30, nearly all were influenza A, with approximately 90% identified as H3N2. Dr Reed explained that subclade K has mutations that differentiate it from the strains included in the current vaccine, although it is still expected to provide some level of protection against severe illness, hospitalization, and death.
Public health experts recommend that everyone aged six months and older receive an annual flu vaccine, with few exceptions. While the current vaccine may not perfectly match the circulating variant, it remains a critical tool in reducing the severity of the disease. Dr Reed reassured that the new variant has not yet been linked to increased severity of illness, although health officials continue to monitor the situation closely.
Despite the ongoing flu activity, there are signs of a slight decline in some flu indicators. The percentage of outpatient visits for flu-like illness has decreased to 3.3%, remaining above the national baseline for the seventeenth consecutive week. However, only seven jurisdictions are currently reporting high or very high flu activity, a significant drop from 20 the previous week. Hospitalizations and deaths are also trending downward, although the CDC reported eight additional pediatric flu deaths, bringing the season's total to 159.
The CDC has classified this flu season as high severity, with estimates indicating at least 44 million infections, 580,000 hospitalizations, and 25,000 deaths so far. The agency continues to stress the importance of vaccination, particularly for high-risk groups, including seniors and those with underlying health conditions. Antiviral medications are available and can help reduce the severity and duration of illness, especially when administered early in the course of the disease.
Dr Reed highlighted that it is not too late for individuals to get vaccinated, as the flu season is expected to persist for several more weeks. "It does take a couple of weeks for your immune response to pick up after vaccination, but that does mean there are many more weeks of flu activity to benefit from the protection of an influenza vaccine," she stated.
In summary, while flu activity in the US is expected to rise in the coming weeks, public health officials are urging individuals to get vaccinated and seek early treatment with antivirals if they experience flu-like symptoms. The ongoing monitoring of flu activity and the effectiveness of the vaccine will be crucial in managing this season's outbreak and protecting public health.

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